Isolated, strong to severe thunderstorms are possible in far eastern New Mexico this week. Temperatures will stay well-above average across the entire state.
Temperatures continue a warming trend Monday after winter returned to parts of the state over the weekend. High temperatures are back up to near and above average for this time of year. Winds are generally light, but there are some breezy conditions in northeast New Mexico. Calm conditions will return statewide tonight with mostly clear skies and warmer low temperatures.
Temperatures will continue this warming trend Tuesday afternoon, but some moisture from the Gulf of Mexico will make its way into the eastern half of the state. This will be the focus for a couple isolated storms that will likely develop in the afternoon out near the Texas state line. These storms could be strong to severe, with lightning and hail the biggest threats before moving into West Texas by the evening.
Moisture from the Gulf will continue to wash back and forth in eastern New Mexico each afternoon through the of this week, bringing a daily, isolated shower and thunderstorm chance to far eastern parts of the state. A few spotty showers will also be possible in the northern mountains this week. Temperatures will continue to hover above to well-above average for this time of the year.
More moisture will try and push westward Saturday morning, potentially making it as far as the Rio Grande Valley. This could bring a better chance for scattered showers and thunderstorm mainly east of the central mountain chain Saturday afternoon, but a spotty shower or two could also be possible in the Rio Grande Valley. Temperatures will be cooler in the eastern half of the state thanks to a cold front, but the western half of the state will continue to see warmer weather with stronger winds returning statewide on Sunday.